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Resources Science, Volume. 42, Issue 8, 1604(2020)

Influence of pricing mechanism transferring on iron ore price volatility

Zhe YOU1...3, Jinhua Cheng2,3,*, Tong WU1, and Ran WANG23 |Show fewer author(s)
Author Affiliations
  • 1School of Law and Business, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan 430205, China
  • 2ddr-line>2. School of Economics & Management, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China
  • 3Research Center of Resource and Environmental Economics, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China
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    AbstractGet PDF(in Chinese)
    Figures&Tables (11)
    Equations (6)
    References (28)
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    Figures & Tables(11)
    Graph of discontinuity regression

    Fig. 1. Graph of discontinuity regression

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    Manipulation test for execution variables

    Fig. 2. Manipulation test for execution variables

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    • Table 1. Variable selection

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      Table 1. Variable selection

      一级指标二级指标三级指标/单位代码计算方法数据来源
      铁矿石价格国内铁矿石进口价格澳大利亚61.5%粉矿青岛港价格/（元/t）dIP_index一阶对数差分西本数据库
      国际铁矿石价格普氏62%铁矿石指数dP_mudi一阶对数差分西本数据库
      供需因素长期铁矿石需求国内生产总值增速/%dGDP一阶对数差分世界银行
      长期铁矿石供给国产矿产量/tdIOP一阶对数差分西本数据库
      短期铁矿石供给进口铁矿石港口库存/tdIS一阶对数差分西本数据库
      短期铁矿石需求铁矿石进口量/tdIM一阶对数差分联合国贸易数据库
      短期铁矿石供给国内粗钢产量/tdCSP一阶对数差分西本数据库
      金融因素资本市场因素标准普尔500股票指数dbp500一阶对数差分WIND数据库
      汇率变动因素美元兑人民币汇率dER一阶对数差分世界银行
      运输因素运输成本因素波罗的海干散货指数dBDI一阶对数差分西本数据库

    • Table 2. Basic regression results

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      Table 2. Basic regression results

      LwaldLwald200Lwald250Lwald300
      Lwald200-0.0606***(-0.0029)-0.180***(-0.0595)0.127(-0.4436)-0.0707(-0.0454)
      N164164164164

    • Table 3. Regression coefficients of control variables on iron ore import prices

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      Table 3. Regression coefficients of control variables on iron ore import prices

      控制变量影响
      铁矿石进口量-0.0109(0.0377)
      国产矿产量0.0274(0.0358)
      标普500指数0.177(0.1236)
      进口铁矿石港口库存-0.0862*(0.0390)
      国内生产总值-0.0762(0.1361)
      国内粗钢产量-0.0546(0.0959)
      美元兑人民币汇率-0.846(0.6176)
      波罗的海干散货指数-0.0148(0.0198)
      N164

    • Table 4. Results of bandwidth sensitivity test

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      Table 4. Results of bandwidth sensitivity test

      （1）（2）
      Lwald-0.238**(0.0861)-0.0606***(0.0029)
      Lwald50-0.0482--0.0482-
      Lwald200-0.238**(0.0861)-0.180**(0.0595)
      N164164

    • Table 5. Results of continuity test

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      Table 5. Results of continuity test

      dCSPdBDIdERdIMdIOPdIS
      Conventional-0.0518(-0.0545)-0.359(-0.4835)-0.00149*(-0.0009)-0.0979(-0.123)0.0769(-0.1247)0.079(-0.153)
      Bias-corre~d-0.0671(-0.0545)-0.498(-0.4835)-0.00255***(-0.0009)-0.112(-0.123)0.0812(-0.1247)0.0635(-0.153)
      Robust-0.0671(-0.0638)-0.498(-0.5465)-0.00255***(-0.0009)-0.112(-0.1459)0.0812(-0.151)0.0635(-0.1827)
      N164164164164164164

    • Table 6. Regression results after introducing key covariates and forward terms

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      Table 6. Regression results after introducing key covariates and forward terms

      （1）（2）
      Lwald-0.238**(0.0861)-0.0529 -
      Lwald250-0.129(0.0658)- -
      Lwald50- --0.0482 -
      Lwald200- --1.051 -
      N164164

    • Table 7. Results of Non-parametric test

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      Table 7. Results of Non-parametric test

      （1）（2）（3）（4）（5）（6）
      Conventional0.0849(0.0704）-0.044(0.1064)0.000238(0.0981)0.102(0.0813)-0.128(0.1312)-0.102(0.1191)
      Bias-corre~d0.0819(0.0704)-0.0792(0.1064)-0.0263(0.0981)0.101(0.0813)-0.151(0.1312)-0.119(0.1191)
      Robust0.0819(0.0839)-0.0792(0.1248)-0.0263(0.1146)0.101(0.0898)-0.151(0.1449)-0.119(0.1313)
      N164164164164164164

    • Table 8. Basic regression results for international iron ore price impact mechanism

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      Table 8. Basic regression results for international iron ore price impact mechanism

      （1）（2）
      Lwald0.289**(0.1007)0.164(0.1001)
      Lwald 2000.289**(0.1007)0.205*(0.0928)
      Lwald 2500.113(0.1296)0.102(0.0919)
      Lwald 3000.0104(0.1146)0.101(0.0834)
      N164164

    • Table 9. Results of Non-parametric test for international iron ore price impact mechanism

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      Table 9. Results of Non-parametric test for international iron ore price impact mechanism

      （1）（2）（3）（4）（5）（6）
      Conventional0.113(0.1082)0.0969(0.0933)0.103(0.1007)0.289*(0.1316)0.208*(0.0998）0.247*(0.1067)
      Bias-corre~d0.0628(0.1082)0.0622(0.0933)0.0642(0.1007)0.252(0.1316)0.185(0.0998)0.220*(0.1067)
      Robust0.0628(0.1245)0.0622(0.1200)0.0642(0.1296)0.252(0.1433)0.185(0.1168)0.220(0.1241)
      N164164164164164164
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    Zhe YOU, Jinhua Cheng, Tong WU, Ran WANG. Influence of pricing mechanism transferring on iron ore price volatility[J]. Resources Science, 2020, 42(8): 1604

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    Paper Information

    Received: Feb. 19, 2020

    Accepted: --

    Published Online: Apr. 23, 2021

    The Author Email: Cheng Jinhua (chengjinhua100@126.com)

    DOI:10.18402/resci.2020.08.14

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    Resource Economy
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