Journal of Fujian Normal University(Natural Science Edition), Volume. 41, Issue 4, 11(2025)
Deep Learning-Based Forecast of the 30-Day Average Temperature
Existing global numerical weather prediction models typically provide large-scale, low-resolution forecasts, which are insufficient to meet the requirements of localized, fine-scale meteorological prediction. This study focuses on forecasting the 30-day average temperature in Fujian Province and proposes two deep learning approaches based on a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and a convolutional neural network (CNN). Experimental results show that the independently trained CNN model with a 5×5 grid input achieves the best performance, reducing the mean absolute error (MAE) and mean squared error (MSE) by 65.3% and 86.7%, respectively, and increasing the correlation coefficient by 4.4%, compared to the baseline provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). These findings demonstrate that selecting appropriate grid scales and model architectures can substantially improve the accuracy of temperature forecasts in specific regions.
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ZHANG Yujie, CHEN Xueying, LUO Haifeng, WENG Bin, HUANG Liqing, YOU Lijun. Deep Learning-Based Forecast of the 30-Day Average Temperature[J]. Journal of Fujian Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2025, 41(4): 11
Received: Nov. 7, 2024
Accepted: Aug. 21, 2025
Published Online: Aug. 21, 2025
The Author Email: CHEN Xueying (qsx20231335@student.fjnu.edu.cn)