Journal of Shanghai Maritime University, Volume. 46, Issue 2, 18(2025)

Ship trajectory prediction model based on improved Seq2Seq

TANG Jiale, DUAN Xingfeng, and YAO Peng
Author Affiliations
  • Navigation College, Jimei University, Xiamen 361021, Fujian, China
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    Aiming at the problem that the traditional recurrent neural network (RNN) model has slow convergence speed and low accuracy, resulting in a large difference between the predicted trajectory and the real trajectory of a maritime ship, an Seq2Seq (sequence to sequence) model composed of RNNs is constructed. Attention mechanism and convolutional neural network (CNN) are introduced to improve the model, strengthening the ability of extracting data features, accelerating the convergence speed of the model, and improving the trajectory prediction accuracy. The experimental results show that:compared with the traditional RNN model, the mean square error, the root mean square error, and the average absolute error of the Seq2Seq model are reduced by 81.41%, 12.67%, and 62.43%, respectively;compared with the Seq2Seq model, the mean square error, the root mean square error, and the average absolute error of the improved Seq2Seq model are reduced by 42.87%, 69.27%, and 45.79%, respectively.

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    TANG Jiale, DUAN Xingfeng, YAO Peng. Ship trajectory prediction model based on improved Seq2Seq[J]. Journal of Shanghai Maritime University, 2025, 46(2): 18

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    Paper Information

    Received: Jan. 17, 2024

    Accepted: Aug. 22, 2025

    Published Online: Aug. 22, 2025

    The Author Email:

    DOI:10.13340/j.jsmu.202401170011

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