Journal of Tongji University(Natural Science), Volume. 53, Issue 7, 1074(2025)

Analysis of Influencing Factors and Severity of Chain Rear-End Collision Using Text Mining

WANG Ling1, LI Yidan1, WANG Zijian2, ZHANG Long2, XING Yingying1、*, and MA Wanjing1
Author Affiliations
  • 1Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of the Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China
  • 2Qingdao Jimo District Transportation Bureau, Qingdao 266200, China
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    Based on nearly eight years of data collected from Weibo, eight topics related to chain rear-end collisions were identified using the latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) topic model and social network analysis, revealing the main characteristics and mechanisms of these accidents. The study finds that highways are the primary accident scenes. Accident frequency during rain and snow is higher than in foggy conditions. Failure to maintain a safe following distance and speeding significantly increase accident risk. By assigning topics to each document using LDA and extracting severity information through regular expressions, an ordered logit regression model was constructed to analyze the impact of different topics on accident severity. The results show that the average number of injuries and fatalities in chain rear-end collisions are 2.12 and 1.85 times higher the averages for general motor vehicle traffic accidents, respectively. The severity of chain rear-end collisions on highways is higher than at intersections, with an odds ratio (OR) 3.3 times that of intersections. The OR for foggy-related accidents is 9.4 times that of rainy and snow, while the OR for accidents involving trucks is 4.6 times that of cars is 2.2 times that of buses.

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    WANG Ling, LI Yidan, WANG Zijian, ZHANG Long, XING Yingying, MA Wanjing. Analysis of Influencing Factors and Severity of Chain Rear-End Collision Using Text Mining[J]. Journal of Tongji University(Natural Science), 2025, 53(7): 1074

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    Paper Information

    Received: Jun. 24, 2024

    Accepted: Aug. 26, 2025

    Published Online: Aug. 26, 2025

    The Author Email: XING Yingying (yingying199004@tongji.edu.cn)

    DOI:10.11908/j.issn.0253-374x.24213

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