Chinese Journal of Ship Research, Volume. 16, Issue 5, 172(2021)

Ship near-miss duration model and application analysis

Jiaxuan YANG1,2, Yangyu ZHOU1,2, and Jiaguo LIU3
Author Affiliations
  • 1Navigation College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China
  • 2Key Laboratory of Navigation Safety Guarantee of Liaoning Province, Dalian 116026, China
  • 3Shipping Economics and Management College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China
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    Objectives

    The near-miss of two ships is a special situation that ships will encounter, and it can be modeled in terms of the time-dimension perspective for evaluating potential maritime traffic risks.

    Methods

    In this paper, a temporal near-miss model is first established using the Fujii ship domain to detect near-miss situations, and the near-miss duration and average duration are then defined. An algorithm for calculating near-miss duration is proposed on the basis of the time synchronization processing of automatic identification system (AIS) data. Furthermore, the near-miss duration is used to analyze the time-dimension characteristics of maritime traffic risks. The Bohai Sea area is used as the research example to verify the model.

    Results

    The correlations between the average near-miss duration and ship type and length are determined. According to ship type analysis, the longest average near-miss duration is 252.63 s for an oil tanker and at least 180 s for a passenger ship. According to ship size analysis, the longest average near-miss duration is 272.65 s for a large ship and at least 180 s for a mid-size ship.

    Conclusions

    The proposed model can be used to accurately calculate near-miss duration, providing a new approach to studying maritime traffic risks from the time-dimension perspective.

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    Jiaxuan YANG, Yangyu ZHOU, Jiaguo LIU. Ship near-miss duration model and application analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Ship Research, 2021, 16(5): 172

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    Paper Information

    Category: Ship Design and Performance

    Received: Jun. 24, 2020

    Accepted: --

    Published Online: Mar. 28, 2025

    The Author Email:

    DOI:10.19693/j.issn.1673-3185.02015

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