Acta Geographica Sinica, Volume. 75, Issue 10, 2164(2020)

Modeling of multilevel vector cellular automata and its simulation of land use change

Yizhong SUN1...2,3,*, Jing YANG1,2,3, Shuying SONG1,2,3, Jie ZHU4 and Junjie DAI5 |Show fewer author(s)
Author Affiliations
  • 1Key Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment, Ministry of Education, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China
  • 2State Key Laboratory Cultivation Base of Geographical Environment Evolution (Jiangsu Province), Nanjing 210023, China
  • 3Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing 210023, China
  • 4College of Civil Engineering, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China
  • 5Jiangyin Urban and Rural Planning and Design Institute, Jiangyin 214433, Jiangsu, China
  • show less
    Figures & Tables(16)
    The construction of hierarchical system of vector CA
    Flow chart of the multi-level vector CA
    Local influence (a. neighbourhood of local level, b. quantification of neighbourhood influence)
    Location of Jiangyin City, China
    Hierarchical system of Jiangyin City
    Curve plot of the proportion of construction land and the control coefficient of development speed
    Comparison of actual and simulated land-use in Jiangyin City in 2017
    The land-use change simulation of Jiangyin City in 2022
    Land-use planning map of Jiangyin City (2011-2030)
    • Table 1. The collection of land-use types

      View table
      View in Article

      Table 1. The collection of land-use types

      用地类型
      农用地山地村庄建设用地城镇建设用地道路用地水域特殊用地
      编码1234567
    • Table 2. Land-use transition probability matric at global level in Jiangyin City from 2007 to 2012

      View table
      View in Article

      Table 2. Land-use transition probability matric at global level in Jiangyin City from 2007 to 2012

      2007年用地类型
      1234
      2012年用地类型10.72440.22630.20170.0946
      20.01560.54390.00090.009
      30.05920.01790.61480.0704
      40.20080.21190.18250.8251
      合计110.99990.9991
    • Table 3. Optimal impact range and parameters of Logistic regression model

      View table
      View in Article

      Table 3. Optimal impact range and parameters of Logistic regression model

      道路距离(m)分级道路影响参数最显著影响范围(m)分级道路影响参数
      回归系数回归常数卡方值回归系数回归常数
      高速路2502.407-4.4592.4071000-1.6682.879
      5000.002-0.0400.002
      7504.977-1.0764.977
      10004.981-0.6764.981
      快速路250-5.174-1.9962.228500-1.346
      500-1.346-2.4136.241
      750-0.926-2.4905.074
      1000-0.609-2.5754.569
      干线公路250-1.668-2.9221.663750-4.459
      500-1.136-2.9750.262
      750-0.523-3.0775.638
      1000-0.086-3.1983.936
    • Table 4. Land-use transition matrices of different districts in Jiangyin City

      View table
      View in Article

      Table 4. Land-use transition matrices of different districts in Jiangyin City

      片区用地类型用地类型片区用地类型用地类型
      12341234
      市域范围10.72440.49610.52370.5413中心片区10.53050.57650.40530.3094
      20.05650.54390.00250.055720.15740.57640.01350.2155
      30.21490.03940.61480.403030.08740.03240.56820.4751
      40.72860.46460.47380.825140.75520.39110.58120.8887
      澄西片区10.71760.63320.34000.7916澄东片区10.67700.33330.43700.5457
      20.00230.25360.00050.001420.01780.66730.00370.0379
      30.13940.03090.57420.207030.21320.04730.61510.4164
      40.85840.33590.65950.854640.7690.61930.55930.8119
      澄南片区10.85610.25820.74880.5366澄东南片区10.8550.74240.56040.5303
      20.01030.194700.020320.00030.185200.0232
      30.36350.03290.73250.443130.395900.81720.4465
      40.62630.70890.25210.783440.60380.25760.43960.8064
    • Table 5. Control index of construction land at global and district levels

      View table
      View in Article

      Table 5. Control index of construction land at global and district levels

      片区市域范围
      中心片区澄西片区澄东片区澄南片区澄东南片区
      规划人口(万人)1301746.52526.5245
      建设用地指标(km2)226.2729.5980.9343.5146.12426.42
    • Table 6. Accuracy assessment of multi-level vector CA of different districts in Jiangyin City in 2017

      View table
      View in Article

      Table 6. Accuracy assessment of multi-level vector CA of different districts in Jiangyin City in 2017

      市域范围中心城区澄西片区澄东片区澄南片区澄东南片区
      现状模拟现状模拟现状模拟现状模拟现状模拟现状模拟
      建设用地面积(km2)419.45425.37227.19226.2728.4729.5980.8480.9342.1943.5140.7645.07
      FoM(%)24.1128.0825.7023.4619.8720.27
      Kappa0.820.860.810.840.820.82
    • Table 7. The statistical result of land-use change simulation of different districts in Jiangyin City in 2022

      View table
      View in Article

      Table 7. The statistical result of land-use change simulation of different districts in Jiangyin City in 2022

      市域范围中心城区澄西片区澄东片区澄南片区澄东南片区
      2022年预测建设用地面积(km2)431.87227.4530.9682.6545.4545.36
      2017年实际建设用地面积(km2)419.45227.1928.4780.8442.1940.76
      预测增量(km2)12.420.262.491.813.264.60
      增长率(%)2.960.118.742.247.7311.29
    Tools

    Get Citation

    Copy Citation Text

    Yizhong SUN, Jing YANG, Shuying SONG, Jie ZHU, Junjie DAI. Modeling of multilevel vector cellular automata and its simulation of land use change[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(10): 2164

    Download Citation

    EndNote(RIS)BibTexPlain Text
    Save article for my favorites
    Paper Information

    Received: Nov. 8, 2019

    Accepted: --

    Published Online: Apr. 14, 2021

    The Author Email: SUN Yizhong (sunyizhong_cz@163.com)

    DOI:10.11821/dlxb202010009

    Topics