Journal of Natural Resources, Volume. 35, Issue 9, 2191(2020)

Price fluctuation of aquatic product resources trade between China and ASEAN: Take export of frozen mackerel as an example

Ying ZHANG and Wen-ting DU
Author Affiliations
  • School of Management, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, Shandong, China
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    Figures & Tables(9)
    Price fluctuation trend of frozen mackerel exported by China to ASEAN and its major countries from 2012 to 2017
    Seasonal factors of price fluctuation of frozen mackerel exported by China to ASEAN and its major countries
    Irregular factors of price fluctuation of frozen mackerel exported by China to ASEAN and its major countries
    Price fluctuation trend decomposition of frozen mackerel exported by China to ASEAN and its major countries
    • Table 1. Proportion of China's aquatic products and frozen mackerel exports from 2012 to 2017 (%)

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      Table 1. Proportion of China's aquatic products and frozen mackerel exports from 2012 to 2017 (%)

      2012年2013年2014年2015年2016年2017年
      冻鲭鱼出口量/水产品总出口量7.115.805.675.948.6910.48
      向东盟冻鲭鱼出口量/总体冻鲭鱼出口量68.2965.1258.9561.1566.7064.31
      向东盟冻鲭鱼出口量/向东盟总水产品出口量24.7720.4118.0918.0627.8830.93
      冻鲭鱼出口额/水产品总出口额2.351.841.791.993.003.54
      向东盟冻鲭鱼出口额/总体冻鲭鱼出口额72.7067.7859.9363.9763.5071.61
      向东盟冻鲭鱼出口额/向东盟水产品总出口额10.777.7010.576.8410.5714.49
    • Table 2. Descriptive statistical analysis of exported frozen mackerel prices

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      Table 2. Descriptive statistical analysis of exported frozen mackerel prices

      变量最大值最小值均值标准差偏度峰度
      东盟2.111.661.870.09-0.023.26
      印度尼西亚2.271.601.830.110.544.97
      菲律宾2.111.501.920.12-1.445.55
      马来西亚7.301.562.410.714.6632.37
      泰国2.781.371.840.201.039.12
    • Table 3. Test results of variable ADF

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      Table 3. Test results of variable ADF

      变量ADF值1%的临界值5%的临界值10%的临界值P
      对东盟出口冻鲭鱼价格-3.957***-3.558-2.917-2.5940.002
      对印度尼西亚出口冻鲭鱼价格-4.689***-3.558-2.917-2.5940.000
      对菲律宾出口冻鲭鱼价格-3.330**-3.558-2.917-2.5940.014
      对马来西亚出口冻鲭鱼价格-6.310***-3.558-2.917-2.5940.000
      对泰国出口冻鲭鱼价格-4.915***-3.558-2.917-2.5940.000
    • Table 4. Test results of variable ARCH-LM

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      Table 4. Test results of variable ARCH-LM

      变量tP
      PA:RESID2(-2)2.241**0.025
      PI:RESID2(-1)4.538***0.000
      PF:RESID2(-1)2.142**0.036
      PM:RESID2(-1)3.202***0.001
      PT:RESID2(-1)2.730***0.008
    • Table 5. Contribution of different factors to export price of frozen mackerel (%)

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      Table 5. Contribution of different factors to export price of frozen mackerel (%)

      长期趋势季节波动不规则波动周期波动
      对东盟出口冻鲭鱼价格95.381.001.492.14
      对印度尼西亚出口冻鲭鱼价格94.531.122.032.31
      对菲律宾出口冻鲭鱼价格94.621.171.842.37
      对马来西亚出口冻鲭鱼价格81.334.986.477.21
      对泰国出口冻鲭鱼价格90.162.583.613.65
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    Ying ZHANG, Wen-ting DU. Price fluctuation of aquatic product resources trade between China and ASEAN: Take export of frozen mackerel as an example[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2020, 35(9): 2191

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    Paper Information

    Received: Feb. 19, 2020

    Accepted: --

    Published Online: Apr. 21, 2021

    The Author Email:

    DOI:10.31497/zrzyxb.20200912

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