Electronics Optics & Control, Volume. 30, Issue 7, 111(2023)

Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Multi-state Switching Random Degradation Equipment

XING Yuanxing1... ZHANG Jianxun1, MAN Qian2, HU Changhua1, DU Dangbo1 and PEI Hong1 |Show fewer author(s)
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  • 1[in Chinese]
  • 2[in Chinese]
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    Large-scale complex systems such as industrial equipment and weapons usually go through storage,standby,testing,operation,maintenance and other states in the whole life cycle,and the internal wear rate of equipment is different in different states,which brings new challenges to the problem of remaining useful life prediction of equipment.In view of this,the degradation model of multi-state switching equipment is established based on Wiener process,and the remaining useful life of multi-state switching equipment is derived by combining semi-Markov model and discrete Markov chain model,and a Monte Carlo simulation method is proposed to solve it.In addition,expectation maximization algorithm and maximum likelihood algorithm are used to identify the parameters of the proposed model.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed method is proved by simulation experiments and practical cases.

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    XING Yuanxing, ZHANG Jianxun, MAN Qian, HU Changhua, DU Dangbo, PEI Hong. Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Multi-state Switching Random Degradation Equipment[J]. Electronics Optics & Control, 2023, 30(7): 111

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    Paper Information

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    Received: Jun. 28, 2022

    Accepted: --

    Published Online: Nov. 29, 2023

    The Author Email:

    DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1671-637x.2023.07.020

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