Journal of Geographical Sciences, Volume. 30, Issue 11, 1825(2020)
Dynamic transition mechanism analysis of the impact of energy development on urbanization in Central Asia
Figures & Tables(10)
Fig. 2. Transmission mechanism from energy development to urbanization
Fig. 4. Changes in population urbanization rate and comprehensive urbanization in Central Asia during 1992-2016
Fig. 5. Evolution of three subsystems (population, economy, and society) of comprehensive urbanization in Central Asia during 1992-2016
Fig. 7. Estimated relationship coefficients between energy development and urbanization in Central Asia
Table 1.
Central Asia’s comprehensive urbanization indicator system
View tableView in ArticleTable 1.
Central Asia’s comprehensive urbanization indicator system
Target level Standard level Index level Definition Unit Comprehensive urbanization Population urbanization Urban population Scale of people living in urban areas Person Urban population rate Urban population as percentage of total population % Urban population growth Growth rate of urban population % Economic urbanization Industrial structure Share of secondary and tertiary industry added value over total GDP % GDP per capita Gross domestic product divided by population Constant 2010 USD GDP growth Growth rate of GDP % Social urbanization Transportation development Energy consumption of transport Mtoe Employment structure Percentage of population employed in secondary and tertiary industries % Technology level Economic output (GDP) per energy consumption Ten thousand 2010 USD per toe
Table 2.
LMf tests for determining the remaining nonlinearity of the number of location parameters
View tableView in ArticleTable 2.
LMf tests for determining the remaining nonlinearity of the number of location parameters
Model Number of location parameters Energy development scale Energy trade Energy consumption Energy endowment m = 1m = 2m = 1m = 2m = 1m = 2m = 1m = 2H 0: r = 0 vsH 1: r = 111.75 7.43 35.37 20.79 12.07 5.98 15.87 11.46 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) H 0: r = 1 vsH 1: r = 20.03 1.92 6.35 3.89 1.20 9.93 11.22 0.00 (0.85) (0.15) (0.01) (0.02) (0.27) (0.00) (0.00) (0.99) H 0: r = 2 vsH 1: r = 3— — 0.02 0.44 — 0.01 0.63 — — — (0.88) (0.64) — (0.99) (0.43) — AIC -3.02 -2.98 -2.83 -2.63 -2.53 -2.35 -2.83 -2.43 Schwarz -2.93 -2.87 -2.66 -2.43 -2.44 -2.43 -2.67 -2.32
Table 3.
Parameter estimates for the final PSTR model
View tableView in ArticleTable 3.
Parameter estimates for the final PSTR model
Model ( m ,r *)Energy development scale (1,1) Energy trade (1,2) Energy consumption (1,1) Energy endowment (1,2) β 0-0.74** -0.66*** -0.43*** -1.62*** (-2.18) (-4.48) (-3.55) (-6.38) β 11.39*** 0.86*** 0.68*** 2.06*** (4.21) (6.30) (5.87) (8.57) β 2— -0.59*** — -0.26*** — (-7.06) — (-6.29) γ 14047.80 33.52 47.17 33.36 γ 2— -1.04 — 8.76 c 10.386 0.77 -1.24 0.66 c 2— 3.04 — 3.18
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Yannan ZHOU, Yu YANG, Zhouying SONG, Ze HE, Siyou XIA, Yawen REN. Dynamic transition mechanism analysis of the impact of energy development on urbanization in Central Asia[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(11): 1825
Paper Information
Received: Mar. 19, 2020
Accepted: Jul. 22, 2020
Published Online: May. 7, 2021
The Author Email: SONG Zhouying (songzy@igsnrr.ac.cn)
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