Geographical Research, Volume. 39, Issue 10, 2345(2020)

Financial markets and regional industrial evolution

Bofei YANG and Shengjun ZHU*
Author Affiliations
  • Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
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    Figures & Tables(9)
    The development of credit market in China (2003-2015)
    The development of equity market in China (2003-2015)
    The development of credit market in Chinese cities (2003, 2008, 2015)
    The development of equity market in Chinese cities (2003, 2008, 2015)
    The share of emerging industries in Chinese cities (2004, 2009, 2016)
    • Table 1. Description of variables

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      Table 1. Description of variables

      DensityCreditEquityRC_CreditRC_EquitySOEEcoHumCPopMeanStd
      Density10.0960.082
      Credit0.29***10.9990.588
      Equity0.01***0.04***10.0090.069
      RC_Credit-0.12***0.58***-0.01***11.8040.594
      RC_Equity0.38***0.46***0.15***0.06***10.0050.012
      SOE0.15***0.13***0.04***-0.01***0.21***10.0290.155
      Eco0.34***0.23***0.01***0.08***0.36***0.04***139005.631516.0
      HumC0.36***0.56***0.05***0.08***0.48***0.17***0.31***1118228.5175174.7
      Pop0.23***0.14***0.02***-0.06***0.32***0.08***-0.04***0.49***1507.38359.33
    • Table 2. Impact of financial markets on the evolution of manufacturing industries (2004-2016)

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      Table 2. Impact of financial markets on the evolution of manufacturing industries (2004-2016)

      模型1模型2模型3模型4模型5
      Density2.777***2.882***3.071***2.987***1.193***
      Credit0.071***0.068***
      Equity3.086***4.052***
      RC_Credit0.135***0.028***
      RC_Equity-5.037***-10.377***
      Credit×Density0.415***
      Equity×Density-40.521***
      RC_Credit×Density0.906***
      RC_Equity×Density35.413***
      SOE0.046***-0.0110.156***0.063***0.156***
      Eco-5.102e-07***-5.340e-07***-5.561e-07***-8.922e-08-4.832e-07***
      HumC2.238e-07***1.977e-083.114e-07***2.653e-083.143e-07***
      Pop-0.00013418***-0.00011851***-0.0001***-0.00004024***-0.00012485***
      Con-1.308***-1.416***-1.5620281***-1.506***-1.350***
      N582565582425567003582425567003
      R0.030.060.030.060.04
      Log likelihood-240562.88-233908.44-232217.24-232396.6-231949.46
      Chi14421.7427570.9216701.5830594.5917237.13
    • Table 3. Impact of financial markets on the evolution of local industries (2004-2008, 2009-2016)

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      Table 3. Impact of financial markets on the evolution of local industries (2004-2008, 2009-2016)

      2004—2008年2009—2016年
      模型1模型2模型3模型4模型5模型6模型7模型8模型9模型10
      Density1.765***1.871***1.925***2.671***-0.399*3.585***3.724***3.816***3.924***3.087***
      Credit0.136***0.225***0.025***0.046***
      Equity3.181***3.895***3.223***4.356***
      RC_Credit0.107***-0.0270.118***0.089***
      RC_Equity-2.053**-7.013***-2.760***-10.039***
      Credit×Density-0.232**0.156***
      Equity×Density-32.735***-32.962***
      RC_Credit×Density1.301***0.218***
      RC_Equity×Density33.505***51.518***
      SOE0.025-0.043*0.091***-0.0060.082***0.166***0.120***0.273***0.189***0.269***
      Eco-4.56e-06***-4.27e-06***-3.72e-06***-2.88e-06***-0.000***-1.41e-06***-1.58e-06***-1.34e-06***-1.05e-06***-1.27e-06***
      HumC3.49e-07***-5.2e-084.639e-07***-3.11e-06***-3.86e-06***2.29e-07***1.26e-07***2.54e-07***1.12e-07***2.32e-07***
      Pop-0.0001***-0.00004***-0.00004*-1.6E-084.968e-07***-0.0002***-0.0002***-0.0002***-0.0001***-0.0002***
      Con-1.212***-1.380***-1.432***1.56E-05-0.0000375*-1.312***-1.370***-1.534***-1.476***-1.448***
      N191639191499185607191499191639390926390926381396390926381396
      R0.010.050.020.060.020.040.060.050.070.05
      Log likelihood-73708.6-70634.9-71325.8-70098.2-71233.4-165592-161941-160024-161371-159919
      Chi1914.37897.812414.398971.12599.3514143.4621445.2815265.3822856.2915474.03
    • Table 4. Impact of financial markets on the evolution of local industries in eastern, central, and western China (2004-2016)

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      Table 4. Impact of financial markets on the evolution of local industries in eastern, central, and western China (2004-2016)

      东部中部西部
      模型1模型2模型3模型4模型5模型6
      Density4.546***3.271***1.559***3.218***4.310***-0.026
      Credit0.121***0.041**0.254***
      Equity4.065***12.091***4.266***
      RC_Credit0.108***0.261***-0.077***
      RC_Equity-4.012***-6.895**18.712***
      Credit×Density0.248***0.477***0.153
      Equity×Density-37.078***10.6980.785
      RC_Credit×Density0.361***-1.211***1.789***
      RC_Equity×Density-3.471114.496***76.216***
      SOE-0.131***-0.050**0.276***0.301***0.354***0.424***
      Eco-7.2e-08-4.00e-07***0.276***1.32e-06***3.75e-07-0.000
      HumC2.722e-07***4.48e-07***2.26e-06***-5.26e-07***-6.826e-07***-2.109e-07***
      Pop-2e-05-0.000062***-7.95e-07***-0.0001***3.1e-07-0.00051462***
      Con-1.805***-1.776***-1.246***-1.449***-1.765***-1.116***
      N3452703339561679421679426921365105
      R0.070.060.060.010.120.09
      Log likelihood-131173-128018-71915.7-75217.7-26226-25513.4
      Chi20499.815913.988622.0420187038.185045.06
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    Bofei YANG, Shengjun ZHU. Financial markets and regional industrial evolution[J]. Geographical Research, 2020, 39(10): 2345

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    Paper Information

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    Received: Apr. 10, 2019

    Accepted: --

    Published Online: Apr. 23, 2021

    The Author Email: ZHU Shengjun (zhus@pku.edu.cn)

    DOI:10.11821/dlyj020190267

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