<trans-title>Evaluation on the effectiveness of provincial emission reduction in the process of carbon emission intensity decline in China's energy industry</trans-title>

Panpan CUI; Yuan ZHAO; Lisha HAO; Siyou XIA; Xin XU; Wenmin TANG

doi:10.11821/dlyj020190688

Geographical Research, Volume. 39, Issue 8, 1864(2020)

Evaluation on the effectiveness of provincial emission reduction in the process of carbon emission intensity decline in China's energy industry

Panpan CUI1... Yuan ZHAO1,2,3,*, Lisha HAO1,3, Siyou XIA4,5, Xin XU1,3, and Wenmin TANG13 |Show fewer author(s)

Author Affiliations

¹School of Geography Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China

²Jinling College, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210097, China

³Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing 210023, China

⁴Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, The Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Analysis and Simulation, CAS, Beijing 100101, China

⁵College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

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Figures & Tables(8)

Fig. 1. The evolution of China's energy industry carbon emission intensity from 2005 to 2016

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Fig. 2. The contribution rate of provincial energy industry carbon emission intensity change to the decline of the country's energy industry carbon emission intensity in China

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Fig. 3. The contribution rate of provincial output value share change to the decline of the country's carbon emission intensity in China

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Fig. 4. The order of provincial comprehensive contribution and emission reduction efficiency in China from 2005 to 2016

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Table 1. The decomposition of China's energy industry carbon emission intensity by LMDI-Ⅰ quantitative addition model

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Table 1. The decomposition of China's energy industry carbon emission intensity by LMDI-Ⅰ quantitative addition model

变量名称	公式	解释
恒等式	$CI = \frac{C}{Q} = \overset{30}{\sum_{i = 1}} \frac{C_{i}}{Q} = \overset{30}{\sum_{i = 1}} \frac{C_{i}}{Q_{i}} \frac{Q_{i}}{Q} = \overset{30}{\sum_{i = 1}} C I_{i} O S_{i}$	CI为中国能源行业碳排放强度;C为中国能源行业碳排放量;Q为国内生产总值;Q_i为i省份地区生产总值;CI_i为i省份能源行业碳排放强度;OS_i为i省份产值份额,即i省份地区生产总值与国内生产总值的比值
△CI	$Δ CI = C I_{t} - C I_{0} = \overset{30}{\sum_{i = 1}} Δ C I_{i} + \overset{30}{\sum_{i = 1}} Δ O S_{i}$	△CI为t年间中国能源行业碳排放强度的变化;CI_t和CI₀分别为中国基期和报告期的能源行业碳排放强度
△CI_i	$Δ C I_{i} = \bar{W_{i}} \ln \frac{C I_{it}^{}}{C I_{i 0}^{}}$	△CI_i为i省份能源行业碳排放强度效应;CI_it、CI_i₀分别为i省份报告期和基期的能源行业碳排放强度
△OS_i	$Δ O S_{i} = \bar{W_{i}} \ln \frac{O S_{it}^{}}{O S_{i 0}^{}}$	△OS_i为i省份产值份额效应;OS_it、OS_i₀分别为i省份报告期和基期产值份额
$\bar{W_{i}}$	$\bar{W_{i}} = \frac{C I_{it}^{} - C I_{i 0}^{}}{\ln (C I_{it}^{}) - \ln (C I_{i 0}^{})}$	$\bar{W_{i}}$ 为i省份的权重

Table 2. Provincial correction coefficients in China

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Table 2. Provincial correction coefficients in China

年份	[-3.75, 0）	[0, 1）	[1, 1.76]
2005—2010年	新疆、海南	青海、内蒙古、宁夏、陕西、河北、山东、安徽、浙江、福建、江西、广东、广西	甘肃、四川、重庆、云南、贵州、湖南、湖北、河南、山西、江苏、黑龙江、吉林、辽宁、上海、北京、天津
2010—2016年	新疆	青海、内蒙古、山西、陕西、宁夏、辽宁、山东、江苏、江西、广西、海南	甘肃、四川、重庆、云南、贵州、湖南、湖北、河南、河北、安徽、浙江、福建、广东、黑龙江、吉林、北京、天津、上海

Table 3. Provincial comprehensive contribution rate in China

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Table 3. Provincial comprehensive contribution rate in China

年份	负贡献区[-1.04%, 0）	低贡献区[0, 1.81%）	中贡献区[1.81%, 4.15%）	高贡献区[4.15%, 13.48%]
2005—2010年	内蒙古、海南、陕西	宁夏、新疆、青海、广西、福建、重庆、江西、天津、安徽	甘肃、吉林、贵州、四川、北京、湖北、云南、湖南	浙江、广东、上海、河南、河北、江苏、山东、山西、黑龙江、辽宁
2010—2016年	新疆	青海、宁夏、海南、广西、江西、陕西、甘肃、贵州	重庆、北京、天津、福建、安徽、湖南、吉林、上海、云南、黑龙江、内蒙古	四川、湖北、江苏、浙江、广东、山西、河南、山东、辽宁、河北

Table 4. The superposition types for provincial emission reduction efficiency and comprehensive contribution in China

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Table 4. The superposition types for provincial emission reduction efficiency and comprehensive contribution in China

叠加类型	2005—2010年	2010—2016年
无效-低贡献区	内蒙古、安徽、福建、江西、广西、海南、陕西、青海、宁夏、新疆	江西、广西、海南、陕西、青海、宁夏、新疆
无效-中贡献区	无	内蒙古
无效-高贡献区	河北、浙江、山东、广东	山西、辽宁、江苏、山东
有效-低贡献区	天津、重庆	贵州、甘肃
有效-中贡献区	北京、吉林、湖北、湖南、四川、贵州、云南、甘肃	北京、天津、吉林、黑龙江、上海、安徽、福建、湖南、重庆、云南
有效-高贡献区	山西、辽宁、黑龙江、上海、江苏、河南	河北、浙江、河南、湖北、广东、四川

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Panpan CUI, Yuan ZHAO, Lisha HAO, Siyou XIA, Xin XU, Wenmin TANG. Evaluation on the effectiveness of provincial emission reduction in the process of carbon emission intensity decline in China's energy industry[J]. Geographical Research, 2020, 39(8): 1864

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Paper Information

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Received: Aug. 15, 2019

Accepted: --

Published Online: Apr. 23, 2021

The Author Email: ZHAO Yuan (zhaoyuan@njnu.edu.cn)

DOI:10.11821/dlyj020190688

Topics

Resource Economy

Research Articles

Table 1. The decomposition of China's energy industry carbon emission intensity by LMDI-Ⅰ quantitative addition model

Table 1. The decomposition of China's energy industry carbon emission intensity by LMDI-Ⅰ quantitative addition model

Table 2. Provincial correction coefficients in China

Table 2. Provincial correction coefficients in China

Table 3. Provincial comprehensive contribution rate in China

Table 3. Provincial comprehensive contribution rate in China

Table 4. The superposition types for provincial emission reduction efficiency and comprehensive contribution in China

Table 4. The superposition types for provincial emission reduction efficiency and comprehensive contribution in China

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