Journal of Atmospheric and Environmental Optics, Volume. 16, Issue 4, 320(2021)
Spatiotemporal Evolution and Prediction of AOD in Typical Urban Agglomerations in Eastern China
To accurately predict the aerosol optical depth (AOD) of typical urban agglomerations in eastern China, based on MODIS data from 2010 to 2019, the spatial and temporal differences of AOD between Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta and within them were analyzed. The AOD prediction model based on the combination of wavelet transform and BP neural network was built to predict AOD in typical urban agglomerations. The results show that: 1) the peak value of aerosol concentration in all urban agglomerations occurs in summer, and the average AOD of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is the highest, followed by Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta. 2) the analysis of AOD influencing factors shows that GDP index, population density and temperature are positively correlated with AOD, while normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), precipitation and wind speed are negatively correlated with AOD. 3) the mean absolute error(MAE) of AOD prediction results in each region is lower than 0.12, error is less than BP neural network and R2 is greater than 0.75, indicating that the model can effectively improve AOD prediction ability compared with BP neural network.
Get Citation
Copy Citation Text
TANG Yan, XU Rui, MENG Fanyue. Spatiotemporal Evolution and Prediction of AOD in Typical Urban Agglomerations in Eastern China[J]. Journal of Atmospheric and Environmental Optics, 2021, 16(4): 320
Category:
Received: Jun. 24, 2020
Accepted: --
Published Online: Aug. 30, 2021
The Author Email: Yan TANG (sugaryan@yeah.net)