Electronics Optics & Control, Volume. 28, Issue 11, 79(2021)

On RUL Prediction Method Based on Bayesian Neural Network with Different Distribution Combinations

HU Chenghao and HU Changhua
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  • [in Chinese]
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    The equipment Remaining Useful Lifetime (RUL) prediction method based on dropout Neural Network (dropout NN) has low precision since it uses a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) with fixed priori distribution and approximate posterior distribution.To solve the problem, we proposed a RUL prediction method based on BNN with Gaussian approximation posterior distribution and a RUL prediction method based on mixed Gaussian-Bernoulli network.The former introduces the mixed Gaussian distribution as priori distribution and then optimizes BNN by unbiased Monte Carlo estimation of parameter gradient, while the latter introduces a discretized Gaussian prior distribution to define KL divergence correctly, and then optimizes the BNN.The verification results on PHM 2012 bearing dataset show that the mixed Gaussian-Gaussian network has better effect than dropout NN, which proves that BNN with the changed distribution combination can obtain better prediction effect.

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    HU Chenghao, HU Changhua. On RUL Prediction Method Based on Bayesian Neural Network with Different Distribution Combinations[J]. Electronics Optics & Control, 2021, 28(11): 79

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    Paper Information

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    Received: Oct. 16, 2020

    Accepted: --

    Published Online: Dec. 13, 2021

    The Author Email:

    DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1671-637x.2021.11.017

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