BLASTING, Volume. 39, Issue 4, 192(2022)

Statistics and Prediction of Civil Explosive Articles Explosion Accidents in China in Recent Decade

ZHANG Fei-yan1...2, ZHANG Nian-si1, HAN Ying3,4,5,6 and HE Xin1 |Show fewer author(s)
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  • 1[in Chinese]
  • 2[in Chinese]
  • 3[in Chinese]
  • 4[in Chinese]
  • 5[in Chinese]
  • 6[in Chinese]
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    Civil explosive industry is a significant industry to promote the modernization construction and social development.Thus the rapid development of the national infrastructure construction increases the demand for civil explosive goods rapidly.Because of dangerous characteristics,there is the possibility of explosion in the process of their production,transportation,storage and use,which seriously threatens the safety of people′s lives and property and social stability.In order to further understand the dangers of civil explosive goods explosion accidents,targeted civil explosive goods safety management,and effective prevention and control,with 102 cases from 2012—2021 as the statistical object,using the mathematical statistics method of accident year,province,accident level,occurrence and cause,and predict the Grey Markov prediction model in 2022—2023.The results show that the most explosive accidents in 2012,2014,2014 and 2016,the least deaths in 2020 and the largest proportion; Hunan,Hubei and Shaanxi are high provinces in production and use,and mechanical impact and friction in production and transportation are the main causes of explosive explosions in 2022 and 2023 are 6 and 5 respectively,with 18 and 17 deaths respectively.The results are of great significance to strengthen the safety management of civil explosive articles and reduce the occurrence of civil explosive accidents.

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    ZHANG Fei-yan, ZHANG Nian-si, HAN Ying, HE Xin. Statistics and Prediction of Civil Explosive Articles Explosion Accidents in China in Recent Decade[J]. BLASTING, 2022, 39(4): 192

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    Paper Information

    Received: Oct. 18, 2022

    Accepted: --

    Published Online: Jan. 26, 2024

    The Author Email:

    DOI:10.3963/j.issn.1001-487x.2022.04.028

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