Acta Physica Sinica, Volume. 69, Issue 10, 100201-1(2020)

Approximate method to evaluate the regional control efficacy of COVID-19

Ji-Peng Li1, Feng Hong1, Wei Bai1, Jing-Yi Liao2, Yan-Ru Zhang1, and Tao Zhou1、*
Author Affiliations
  • 1Big Data Research Center, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, China
  • 2Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen 518055, China
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    The cumulative number of local confirmed cases was highly correlated with the total inflow population from Wuhan before the city closure, and the proportion of third-generation infections in a local region is tiny. Accordingly, we proposed an approximate method to quantitatively evaluate the regional control efficacy of COVID that takes into account effects of both imported cases and regional population. We applied this method to evaluate the control efficacy of the top-50 cities with maximum inflow population from Wuhan. The 10 cities with the most significant control efficacy are Shijiazhuang, Luoyang, Enshi, Zhoukou, Xiamen, Guiyang, Xianning, Anqing, Xinyang, and Nanning.

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    Ji-Peng Li, Feng Hong, Wei Bai, Jing-Yi Liao, Yan-Ru Zhang, Tao Zhou. Approximate method to evaluate the regional control efficacy of COVID-19[J]. Acta Physica Sinica, 2020, 69(10): 100201-1

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    Paper Information

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    Received: Mar. 14, 2020

    Accepted: --

    Published Online: Nov. 30, 2020

    The Author Email:

    DOI:10.7498/aps.69.20200441

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